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random rants about news, the law, healthcare law, economics and anything I find amusing

The Future is Here; Just Not Evenly Distributed

Interesting presentation by Futurist Jim Carol.  He asks, what will we learn if we look back to today’s health care system from the vantage point of 2020?  Many of these concepts are not completely novel, so it reminds me of the science fiction writer William Gibson who observed that “the future is here; it’s just not evenly distributed yet.”

From Jim Carol’s presentation “It’s January 15, 2020: What Have We Learned About Healthcare in the Last Decade?”, he discusses a number of trends that he thinks will reshape health care.  A few:

  • Focus on preventive medicine reshapes healthcare delivery and finance, and by 2020 patients are treated for the conditions we know they are likely to develop, rather than principally for those that they already have.
  • Focus on “customer service” as job #2 (#1 always the efficient and effective delivery of care) reshapes healthcare delivery and rebuilds the entire philosophical underpinning of the system, so that “customer focused, friendly, fast, subject to expectation metrics makes it more consistent with other economic industries.”
  • “When Silicon Valley got involved in a big way, everything changed” launching “new products, new business models, scientic discovery tools, bio-informatics platforms that provided the foundation for diagnostic medicine, and many other incredible items.”
  • “Bio-connected devices — home health care medical monitoring, diagnosis and treatment devices — [will] provid[] … a renaissance” in the modality of care.  “A good proportion of both critical and non-critical care patients [will] receive …at home… [causing a] transition[] to a virtual community oriented caregiving strategy which has resulted in cost reductions and a refocus of critical health care spending” away from inpatient services.
  • “[T]he role of medical packaging [will] transition[] from being a passive protector of the product, to becoming an active component of the overall effectiveness of the particular medication” — prescription bottles will have internet enabled RFID tags with bio-sensors, providing specific information to patient’s provider and general information to pharmecutical clinical trials about patient’s current condition and the efficacy and interactions of the drug.
  • By 2020, “the average doctor and nurse [will need to] refresh[] their entire knowledge base every 18 months [due to the velocity of innovation, knowledge growth and change].  The result [will be] that the relationship between medical colleges and students [will] change[], from a period of short term, concentrated knowledge delivery, to one of lifelong, ongoing replenishment and rejuvenation of knowledge.”

via It’s January 15, 2020: Do you know where your healthcare system is? | WorldHealthCareBlog.org.

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