On the Healthcare Blog, Rober Wachter analyzes the recent NEJM report on hospital readmissions, the related
[T]he DRG system created a big black hole, and it is time to fill it. It’s called the post-discharge period. And one large part of the detritus emerging from that hole is readmissions. You probably saw this week’s NEJM study by Stephen Jencks (a former Medicare official and now a Baltimore-based consultant), and my pals Mark Williams and Eric Coleman, of Northwestern and Colorado, respectively. The study found that 20% of Medicare patients are readmitted within a month of discharge, and one-third return within 90 days. Even more remarkably, by a year out more than half of patients (56%) discharged from an acute care hospital are re-hospitalized. The authors estimate that the cost of preventable readmissions was $17 billion in 2004 (the study year), which would make it more like $25 billion today.
via The Health Care Blog: “Mr. Obama, Tear Down These (Hospital) Walls”.
Wachter also summarizes some interesting points of the study:
Like so many things in healthcare, there was striking geographic variation in readmission rates – from a low of 13% in Idaho to 23% in Washington, D.C.
There were also variations by DRG, with the highest readmission rates in patients with heart failure, psychosis, vascular and cardiac surgery, and COPD – pointing the way toward targeted interventions.
More than half the patients readmitted within 30 days appeared not to have had an outpatient visit between hospital discharge and readmission, perhaps another target for intervention.
Most (70%) surgical patients who are readmitted come back for a medical diagnosis such as pneumonia or UTI.
Approximately 30% of readmitted patients come back to a different hospital, so hospitals will underestimate the extent of their readmission problem by looking solely at their own bounce-backs.
via The Health Care Blog: “Mr. Obama, Tear Down These (Hospital) Walls”.
Wachter continues and and discusses why this is becoming critical (healthcare reform/savings dollars) and the health system’s current state as it relates to discharge planning/readmissions:
The Obama budget plan depends on figuring this out. The budget, which aims to save $300 billion (which used to seem like a lot of money) in Medicare/Medicaid costs over the next decade, includes a projected $26 billion in savings from “driving down hospital readmission rates for Medicare patients” …The manifestations of this myopic focus on hospitalization as the unit of analysis can be seen in the paucity of attention that hospitals give post-discharge care. Studies have chronicled a litany of post-discharge disasters…In other words, when it comes to post-discharge care, we suck…Despite powerful literature that shows that simple interventions – like post-discharge phone calls or the use of a transitions coach – can lead to impressive improvements in post-discharge care and decreased readmission and return-to-ED rates, few hospitals have put these interventions in place.
Wacther then makes an observation concerning financial efforts to address the system’s performance in this area:
Harvard’s Arnie Epstein reviews the policy initiatives addressing readmissions – including those that are here today (publishing readmission rates on the Web) and those being actively discussed (financial penalties to hospitals with high readmission rates). But the Cool Kid on the Payment Block is “bundling” – aggregating payments for doctors and hospitals for a period of time after an illness (an “episode of care”) in an effort to create accountable integrated entities that will improve care across the continuum (the entities somehow have to split up the spoils between hospitals, hospitalists, SNFs, primary care docs, specialists, care coordinators… Have fun with that). Epstein’s verdict: worthy of pilot studies, but “the likelihood that [bundling] will prove to be a successful model is still uncertain.”
He recognizes the challenges, and the laments, of hospitals, that have difficulties in controlling other healthcare provider’s post-discharge data. Why, hospitals ask, can you hold us responsible if we are not in control of this.
I would also put on the table that if the government goes this route, query if it makes any sense to maintain Medicare CoP restrictions on promotion of hospital/health system owned and controlled providers — such as those exist for home health.
He observes that there are tools ready out there to assist hospitals in this area, including those developed through the Society of Hospital Medicine and its “splendid” Project Boost.
Finally, he observes that “I, like you, don’t know where the money will come from for all of this.” I tend to disagree. I pretty much know where (most of) the money will come from — where the largest portion of the Medicare premium dollar comes from — inpatient admissions. Get ready!
Filed under: Comparative Effectiveness Rearch, Health Law, Medicare, Payment, Quality Reporting, Reform, Risk Management, Economics, Finance, Health, Health Law